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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League Nottingham Forest — Bournemouth

Match Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth May 24, 2026 — Result and Stats

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
D W W D D Away · last 5
The City Ground · Nottingham, Nottinghamshire Referee C. Pawson
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 54% · book 2.15
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 2.55
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.45
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.87 – 1.00
Δ +0.87
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Premier League Clash at City Ground

Nottingham Forest hosts Bournemouth in a match where the visitors hold a clear quality edge and a slight attacking advantage. Forest’s recent home form shows resilience, but Bournemouth’s sharper offense and better recent points per game suggest they can press effectively. Expect a tactical battle with Bournemouth likely to exploit Forest’s defensive vulnerabilities, while Forest’s home momentum and compact block could keep it tight.

  • Bournemouth’s offensive edge vs Forest’s defense
  • Forest’s home momentum and recent wins
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NOT 4-4-2 · BOU 4-2-3-1
Subs used · NOT
62' Awoniyi ↑ · Wood
63' Netz ↑ · Cunha
65' Yates ↑ · Anderson
65' Dominguez ↑ · Sangare
78' McAtee ↑ · Hutchinson
Subs used · BOU
57' Gannon-Doak ↑ · Toth
73' Kluivert ↑ · J. Kroupi
73' Unal ↑ · Evanilson
73' Adli ↑ · Rayan
90' Cook ↑ · Smith

📊 Statistics

NOT 11 BOU
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.87
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.00
15
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
6
10
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
7
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 1 – 1
33'
J. Hill
Yellow Card
M. Gibbs-White
Assist · O. Hutchinson · 1–0
34'
Half-time · 1 – 0
54'
M. Tavernier
Assist · A. Truffert · 1–1
57'
B. Gannon-Doak ↓ · A. Toth ↑
Substitution 1
T. Awoniyi ↓ · C. Wood ↑
Substitution 1
62'
L. Netz ↓ · Cunha ↑
Substitution 2
63'
R. Yates ↓ · E. Anderson ↑
Substitution 3
65'
N. Dominguez ↓ · I. Sangare ↑
Substitution 4
65'
T. Awoniyi
Yellow Card
67'
73'
J. Kluivert ↓ · E. J. Kroupi ↑
Substitution 2
73'
E. Unal ↓ · Evanilson ↑
Substitution 3
73'
A. Adli ↓ · Rayan ↑
Substitution 4
J. McAtee ↓ · O. Hutchinson ↑
Substitution 5
78'
90'
L. Cook ↓ · A. Smith ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.87 to 1.00. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3.

On the scoresheet: M. Gibbs-White (34'), M. Tavernier (54').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.16 units (Brier 0.174).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.15 2.00 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.55 2.43 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.45 2.38 41% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.65 1.57 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.62 1.51 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.38 2.38 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.79 1.78 46% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.52 2.66 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.37 1.30 78% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.57 1.54 63% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.55 1.53 60% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 5.00 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 14.08 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.92 3.85 24% Cashed +2.92 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 1.14 80% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Home Win 3.40 3.45 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.16u −13% ROI