P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Fulham — Newcastle
Fulham
Fulham
Home · last 5 D W L L D
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 15:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Newcastle
Newcastle
L L W D W Away · last 5
Craven Cottage · London Referee R. Jones
Home Win · FUL
29%
Best 2.92
Draw
24%
Best 3.86
Away Win · NEW
48%
Best 2.41
Best bet
Away Win
@ 2.37
Fair odds
2.09
book 2.37 · +13.1% better than market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Best bet confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +13.1%
AI preview · 90 sec read

AI sees no standout edge in this market — odds and probabilities line up.

Fulham hosts Newcastle in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but Fulham’s home form and defensive solidity could keep this tight. Newcastle’s stronger attack faces a resilient Fulham defense, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Recent form favors Fulham’s momentum, while the odds hint at a moderate tempo and a likely under 2.5 goals scenario.

  • Fulham’s home defensive discipline may frustrate Newcastle’s offense
  • Newcastle’s attacking threat balanced by Fulham’s recent form upswing
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a compact, cautious approach

Market · Fair (consensus)

4 bookmakers consensus · 15-min refresh
Market Best bookmaker Fair (consensus) AI prob. Edge
Away Win 2.37 2.30 48% +13.1% Watch
Under 0.5 16.00 15.00 7% +13.1% Watch
BTTS No 2.55 2.45 44% +12.5% Watch
Under 2.5 2.36 2.30 47% +11.8% Watch
Under 3.5 1.53 1.50 69% +5.2% Watch
Double Chance X2 1.45 1.42 71% +3.6% Watch
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 93% −4.3% Pass
Draw 3.88 3.78 24% −8.1% Pass
Over 1.5 1.20 1.15 76% −8.9% Pass
Over 2.5 1.69 1.62 53% −11.1% Pass
Double Chance 1X 1.66 1.60 52% −13.3% Pass
BTTS Yes 1.55 1.52 56% −13.4% Pass
Home Win 2.98 2.84 29% −14.8% Pass
Over 3.5 2.50 2.50 31% −21.8% Pass
Away Win
book 2.37 · fair 2.30 · 48%
+13.1%
Watch
Under 0.5
book 16.00 · fair 15.00 · 7%
+13.1%
Watch
BTTS No
book 2.55 · fair 2.45 · 44%
+12.5%
Watch
Under 2.5
book 2.36 · fair 2.30 · 47%
+11.8%
Watch
Under 3.5
book 1.53 · fair 1.50 · 69%
+5.2%
Watch
Double Chance X2
book 1.45 · fair 1.42 · 71%
+3.6%
Watch
Over 0.5
book 1.03 · fair 1.03 · 93%
−4.3%
Pass
Draw
book 3.88 · fair 3.78 · 24%
−8.1%
Pass
Over 1.5
book 1.20 · fair 1.15 · 76%
−8.9%
Pass
Over 2.5
book 1.69 · fair 1.62 · 53%
−11.1%
Pass
Double Chance 1X
book 1.66 · fair 1.60 · 52%
−13.3%
Pass
BTTS Yes
book 1.55 · fair 1.52 · 56%
−13.4%
Pass
Home Win
book 2.98 · fair 2.84 · 29%
−14.8%
Pass
Over 3.5
book 2.50 · fair 2.50 · 31%
−21.8%
Pass
Best bookmaker — highest offer across all bookmakers. Fair (consensus) — median of all bookmakers with the bookmaker margin removed. AI prob. — AI's estimated probability of the outcome. Edge — how much the best bookmaker beats the AI-implied price (positive = value). ★ Top pick — highest-EV value bet; Watch — positive edge below the value threshold; Pass — no edge.

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.22
Goals Scored
1.43
1.38
Goals Conceded
1.43
1.26
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
3.59
Shots on Target
4.70
4.89
Corners
6.05
51.86
Possession (%)
52.41
99.31
Efficiency index
93.51
82.61
Adjusted index
86.21
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
35
OFF · home
85
65
DEF · home
15
40
OFF · away
20
35
DEF · away
95
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win

🎯 Scenario insights

Fulham wins when scoring first
100%
Newcastle wins when scoring first
50%
Fulham BTTS rate · last 10
30%
Newcastle BTTS rate · last 10
80%
Fulham Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
Newcastle Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Fulham comeback rate · last 10
0%
Newcastle comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Fulham · last 10 at home

0–15 8%
16–30 8%
31–45 23%
46–60 8%
61–75 23%
76–90 31%

Newcastle · last 10 away

0–15 20%
16–30 20%
31–45 30%
46–60 0%
61–75 20%
76–90 10%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

H. Wilson
FUL · Midfielder
10 G · 0.34 g/90
R. Jiménez
FUL · Attacker
9 G · 0.39 g/90
Bruno Guimarães
NEW · Midfielder
9 G · 0.37 g/90