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Home England Premier League Aston Villa — Liverpool

Predictions Aston Villa vs Liverpool May 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Fri 15 May · 19:00
4:2
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Villa Park · Birmingham Referee C. Kavanagh
Home Win · AST
25%
Best 3.02
Draw
24%
Best 3.56
Away Win · LIV
51%
Best 2.48
Model pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.44
Fair odds
1.46
book 1.44 · no edge vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 68%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.02
Show model details
Implied probability 33.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.9%
Odds 3.91
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 46.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31.5%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.2%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 53.3%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.9%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 24.9%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.