P
Prognosist
P
Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › KV Mechelen — Anderlecht

KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
Home · last 5 W L D D L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 17:30
1:0
Full-time
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
L D D W L Away · last 5
Referee N. Laforge
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 61% · book 1.80 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.06 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.16 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.13 – 1.26
Δ −0.13
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.80 — +10.4% better than the market.

KV Mechelen holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a competitive clash. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Anderlecht's sharper attack, setting up an intriguing tactical battle. Recent form favors Mechelen, who have shown more consistency, while Anderlecht's struggles hint at a cautious approach.

  • Home momentum with solid defense
  • Away side's attacking threat vs compact block
  • Moderate pace expected from balanced totals odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed
AI 61% Implied 56% +0.80u
+80%
ROI on stake

Statistics

MEC 1 – 0 AND
40%
Possession (%)
60%
1.13
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.26
13
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
9
5
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
19
72%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Yellow Cards
8
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

KV Mechelen beat Anderlecht 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 10 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.61 units (Brier 0.246).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.80 — 61% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.06 — 49% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
BTTS No 2.16 — 46% Cashed +1.16 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.85 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.57 — 36% Cashed +1.57 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.08 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.48 — 36% Cashed +2.48 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.41 — 70% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.33 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.09 — 24% Cashed +3.09 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.23 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.53 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.60 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +1.61u +9% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
MEC – AND @ 1.80
+10.4%
Edge
Forecast →