St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.98 — +13.6% better than the market.

St. Truiden enters this clash with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, suggesting home momentum. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Cercle Brugge's less robust backline, giving St. Truiden a pressing edge. Expect a moderately paced game with chances on both ends, as both sides have shown goal threat but also defensive vulnerabilities.

Home side's superior defensive metrics
Recent form favors St. Truiden's consistency
Balanced attacking potential on both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.98 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 51% +0.98u

+98%

ROI on stake

Lineups

TRU 4-3-3 · CER 4-4-2

TRU · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · CER

10 Sebaoui

Statistics

TRU 2 – 1 CER

61%

Possession (%)

39%

2.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.66

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

St. Truiden beat Cercle Brugge 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.44 to 1.66. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.19 units (Brier 0.102).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.98	—	57%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.40	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.45	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	—	58%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.62	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.91	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.80	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.31	—	81%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	64%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.59	—	59%	Cashed	+0.59	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.45	—	57%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.10	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	80%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.80	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.19u	−31% ROI

St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled