Match KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem February 28, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.14 — +10.8% better than the market.

KV Mechelen holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing better recent form and defensive solidity compared to Zulte Waregem. The home side's compact block and ability to limit chances could frustrate the visitors, who struggle on the road and have a slightly weaker defense. Expect a moderately paced game with a tactical battle where Mechelen's home edge and form advantage may tilt the balance.

Home defensive strength vs away attack
Recent form favors Mechelen
Moderate tempo suggested by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.14 ✗ Lost

AI 52% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MEC 3-4-1-2 · WAR 3-5-2

MEC · 3-4-1-2 3-5-2 · WAR

28 Boersma

📊 Statistics

MEC 2 – 1 WAR

40%

Possession (%)

60%

0.91

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.88

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

KV Mechelen beat Zulte Waregem 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.88 to 0.91. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 4, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.56 units (Brier 0.129).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.23	—	52%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.14	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.29	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.80	—	48%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.66	—	52%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.62	—	52%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.70	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.41	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	73%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.25	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.37	—	78%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.92	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	73%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.27	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.56u	−27% ROI

Match KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem February 28, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.14 — +10.8% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled