Everton vs Sunderland 1:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.90 — +12.9% better than the market.

Everton holds a clear quality edge at home, supported by a stronger overall squad and a slight offensive advantage against Sunderland's defense. Despite recent mixed form, Everton's home momentum and compact defensive block could stifle Sunderland's attack. Sunderland's recent win hints at resilience, but their away struggles and Everton's pressing edge suggest a tight, low-scoring contest.

Home advantage with better squad strength
Everton's defense likely to contain Sunderland's offense
Recent form favors a cautious, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.90 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

EVE 4-2-3-1 · SUN 4-2-3-1

EVE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · SUN

9 Beto

Subs used · EVE

73'

George ↑ ·

Iroegbunam ↓

73'

Barry ↑ ·

Beto ↓

88'

McNeil ↑ ·

Rohl ↓

88'

Coleman ↑ ·

O'Brien ↓

Subs used · SUN

23'

O'Nien ↑ ·

Alderete ↓

60'

Talbi ↑ ·

Hume ↓

77'

Rigg ↑ ·

Angulo ↓

77'

Isidor ↑ ·

Brobbey ↓

77'

Diarra ↑ ·

Sadiki ↓

Statistics

EVE 1 – 3 SUN

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.07

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.73

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 1 – 3

23'

⇄

L. O'Nien ↓ · O. Alderete ↑

Substitution 1

T. Iroegbunam

Yellow Card

▮

25'

M. Rohl

Assist · M. Keane · 1–0

⚽

43'

Half-time · 1 – 0

J. O'Brien

Yellow Card

▮

47'

59'

⚽

B. Brobbey

Assist · E. Le Fee · 1–1

60'

⇄

C. Talbi ↓ · T. Hume ↑

Substitution 2

T. George ↓ · T. Iroegbunam ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

73'

T. Barry ↓ · Beto ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

77'

⇄

C. Rigg ↓ · N. Angulo ↑

Substitution 3

77'

⇄

W. Isidor ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑

Substitution 4

77'

⇄

H. Diarra ↓ · N. Sadiki ↑

Substitution 5

81'

⚽

E. Le Fee

Assist · C. Rigg · 1–2

D. McNeil ↓ · M. Rohl ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

88'

S. Coleman ↓ · J. O'Brien ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

88'

90+1'

⚽

W. Isidor

Assist · H. Diarra · 1–3

J. Garner

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Sunderland won 3–1 away at Everton. At half-time it was 1–0.

In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.73 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Rohl (43'), B. Brobbey (59'), E. Le Fee (81'), W. Isidor (90+1').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.35 units (Brier 0.343).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.90	1.85	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.97	2.10	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	2.08	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.97	1.80	43%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	1.69	47%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.00	1.93	41%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	4.00	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	1.22	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.37	1.38	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	12.05	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	1.40	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.04	90%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.86	3.68	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	1.25	68%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	3.00	23%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Away Win	4.36	4.10	17%	Cashed	+3.36	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.48	3.27	17%	Cashed	+2.48	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+2.35u	+14% ROI

Everton vs Sunderland 1:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled