Match Genk vs Standard Liege February 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.02 — +10.8% better than the market.

Genk arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a clear quality edge over Standard Liege. Their attacking prowess is well-matched against Standard's defensive setup, suggesting they can control the game tempo at Cegeka Arena. Standard's recent form and lower offensive threat hint at a compact, cautious approach, likely limiting goal opportunities.

Genk's home edge and offensive pressure
Standard's defensive resilience but limited attack
Moderate pace expected with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.02 ✗ Lost

AI 55% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-3-3 · STA 3-4-3

GEN · 4-3-3 3-4-3 · STA

10 Ito

📊 Statistics

GEN 0 – 3 STA

70%

Possession (%)

30%

1.37

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.86

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

67%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Standard Liege won 3–0 away at Genk. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.37 to 0.86. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 12, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.86 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.61 units (Brier 0.300).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.02	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.88	—	56%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.97	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.62	—	32%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.88	—	45%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Home Win	1.53	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.39	—	75%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	89%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.17	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	4.33	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	70%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Away Win	6.50	—	11%	Cashed	+5.50	Cashed
AH Away 0	5.00	—	11%	Cashed	+4.00	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+4.61u	+27% ROI