Match Charleroi vs Genk December 19, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.42 — +6.1% better than the market.

Genk holds a slight quality edge over Charleroi, reflected in their stronger offensive numbers against a home defense that has been somewhat vulnerable. The home side’s recent form shows signs of struggle, while Genk’s slightly better momentum and pressing edge could tilt the balance. Expect a tactical battle with Genk probing Charleroi’s compact block, aiming to exploit set-piece opportunities.

Genk’s sharper attack vs Charleroi’s leaky defense
Home side’s inconsistent form and defensive lapses
Moderate pace suggested by odds, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.42 ✓ Cashed

AI 75% Implied 70% +0.42u

+42%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CHA 4-2-3-1 · GEN 4-2-3-1

CHA · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · GEN

21 Scheidler

📊 Statistics

CHA 2 – 2 GEN

47%

Possession (%)

53%

0.94

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.69

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Charleroi and Genk drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 9, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 1.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.42 units (Brier 0.232).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.51	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.05	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.84	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.12	—	44%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	49%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.83	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.09	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.42	—	75%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.47	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.57	—	53%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Home Win	3.00	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.34	—	70%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	27%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.95	—	23%	Cashed	+2.95	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.42u	−2% ROI