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Prognosist
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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League St. Truiden — Standard Liege

Match St. Truiden vs Standard Liege November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats

St. Truiden
St. Truiden
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 15:00
1:0
Full-time
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
W W D W L Away · last 5
Referee Nicolas Laforge, Belgium
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 54% · book 2.10
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.10
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.92
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.54 – 0.34
Δ +1.20
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

St. Truiden holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent mixed form. Their offensive edge against Standard Liege’s defense suggests they can create chances, while the home side’s defensive solidity should limit away threats. Standard Liege’s recent form shows resilience, but their lower attacking output may struggle against a compact home block. Expect a moderately paced game with a slight lean towards a home win and under 2.5 goals.

  • Home attacking pressure vs away defense
  • Standard’s resilience but limited firepower
  • Balanced pace with defensive discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

TRU 10 STA
66%
Possession (%)
34%
1.54
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.34
16
Total Shots
4
2
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
1
9
Shots Inside Box
4
9
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
11
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
0
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

St. Truiden beat Standard Liege 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.54 to 0.34. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 4, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 1.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.97 units (Brier 0.176).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.10 54% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 50% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.92 52% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.99 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.80 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.60 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.32 80% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.53 54% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.64 27% Cashed +2.64 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.35 73% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 92% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.31 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.55 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.55 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.97u −12% ROI