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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Belgium Jupiler Pro League KV Mechelen — St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
Home · last 5 L W L D D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 14:00
1:3
Full-time
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
W W L D L Away · last 5
Referee Jasper Vergoote, Belgium
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.15
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 27% · book 3.80
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 30% · book 3.40
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
0.97 – 3.26
Δ −2.29
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden: hosts carry a small edge on overall strength and venue, but the gap is narrow and both sides profile as mid-tempo with comparable shot quality. That keeps the draw very live and pushes us toward conservative core markets.

Our baseline leans slightly under the main total with both teams capable in transitions rather than sustained pressure. Early goal risk can open the game, but the central pathway remains a tight contest decided by moments.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

MEC 13 TRU
50%
Possession (%)
50%
0.97
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.26
10
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
9
4
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
14
5
Corner Kicks
8
0
Offsides
2
18
Fouls
14
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
3
Yellow Cards
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.15 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.80 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.40 30% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.73 57% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.45 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 60% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Home Win 2.20 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 4 L −0.25u −4% ROI