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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Gent — Charleroi

Match Gent vs Charleroi October 3, 2025 — Result and Stats

Gent
Gent
Home · last 5 D D D L D
Kick-off
Fri 03 Oct · 18:45
2:1
Full-time
Charleroi
Charleroi
W W L D W Away · last 5
Planet Group Arena · Gent Referee Lawrence Visser, Belgium
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.38
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.55
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 68% · book 1.52
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
0.74 – 0.44
Δ +0.30
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
2 / 5
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Gent vs Charleroi — match preview, probabilities & betting insights. Gentle home edge comes from stronger overall levels and steadier chance production, while Charleroi’s recent uptick and sharper transitions keep the visitors competitive. Expect Gent to control more territory and push through wide combinations; Charleroi will look to break quickly after regain and lean on restarts.

Game script & totals. The scoring baseline sits around the mid-range, with a cautious first hour likely to cap shot quality. Protection leans toward away-sided coverage and unders, while higher variance lives in late-game swings if an early goal loosens structure. Key swing factors: first-goal timing, discipline in transition fouls, and set-piece execution.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

GEN 21 CHA
62%
Possession (%)
38%
0.74
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.44
9
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
7
4
Shots off Target
2
4
Shots Inside Box
3
4
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
5
Fouls
9
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
2
Yellow Cards
4
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Gent beat Charleroi 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 2 landed and 3 missed, for a net -1.41 units (Brier 0.223).

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 2 W · 3 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.38 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.55 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.52 68% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.81 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.07 44% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each 2 W · 3 L −1.41u −28% ROI