P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Aston Villa — Tottenham
England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 W L L D W
Kick-off
Sun 03 May · 18:00
1:2
Full-time
Tottenham
Tottenham
D W W D L Away · last 5
Villa Park · Birmingham Referee Samuel Barrott, England
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 52% · book 2.24
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 2.22
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.40
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.31 – 1.03
Δ −0.72
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.22 — +15.0% better than the market.

Aston Villa Looks to Leverage Home Strength

Aston Villa enters this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, having outperformed Tottenham in recent form. Their robust defensive setup could stifle Tottenham’s attack, which has struggled away. Villa’s offensive pressure against Tottenham’s defense suggests a tactical upper hand, while the moderate pace implied by odds points to a controlled, strategic game. Expect Villa to press their advantage at Villa Park.

  • Villa’s home form and defensive solidity
  • Tottenham’s away struggles and lower offensive threat
  • Moderate game tempo favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.22 ✗ Lost
AI 52% Implied 45% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

AST 12 TOT
46%
Possession (%)
54%
0.31
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.03
5
Total Shots
10
1
Shots on Target
5
1
Shots off Target
3
2
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
4
12
Fouls
12
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

17 · 1 – 2
12'
Conor Gallagher
0–1
25'
Richarlison
Assist · Mathys Tel · 0–2
27'
Randal Kolo Muani
Yellow Card
45'
Rodrigo Bentancur
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 2
Ross Barkley
Yellow Card
51'
Ollie Watkins ↓ · Tammy Abraham ↑
Substitution 1
60'
66'
Djed Spence ↓ · Randal Kolo Muani ↑
Substitution 1
67'
Yves Bissouma ↓ · Rodrigo Bentancur ↑
Substitution 2
73'
Mathys Tel
Yellow Card
Morgan Rogers
Yellow Card
77'
81'
Kevin Danso
Yellow Card
Leon Bailey ↓ · Jadon Sancho ↑
Substitution 2
85'
Emiliano Buendía ↓ · Ross Barkley ↑
Substitution 3
85'
90'
Lucas Bergvall ↓ · Mathys Tel ↑
Substitution 3
90'
Pape Matar Sarr ↓ · Richarlison ↑
Substitution 4
Emiliano Buendía
Assist · Matty Cash · 1–2
90+6'
90+6'
Conor Gallagher
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.24 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.22 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.40 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.67 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.77 48% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.72 48% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.40 23% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 73% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.38 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 52% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 0.5 14.10 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.76 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 73% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Away Win 3.29 23% Cashed +2.29 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.55u −15% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
AST – TOT @ 2.22
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →