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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Samsunspor — Göztepe

Predictions by Market: Samsunspor vs Göztepe

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 17:00
3:0
Full-time
Göztepe
Göztepe
D W D W L Away · last 5
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu · Samsun Referee U. Ozturk

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SAM
33%
Best 2.67
Draw
25%
Best 3.52
Away Win · GOZ
43%
Best 2.68
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.20
Fair odds
3.80
book 4.20 · +10.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +10.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.87
Show model details
Implied probability 34.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.68
Show model details
Implied probability 27.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.3%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.7%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8%
Odds 13.10
Show model details
Implied probability 7.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 32.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SAM – GOZ @ 4.20
+10.4%
Edge
Forecast →