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Home Turkey Süper Lig Samsunspor — Goztepe

Match Samsunspor vs Goztepe May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 17:00
3:0
Full-time
Goztepe
Goztepe
D W D W L Away · last 5
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu · Samsun Referee U. Ozturk
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 68% · book 1.60
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.14
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.30
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.98 – 2.20
Δ −0.22
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Samsunspor shows strong home momentum with recent wins and a solid attacking edge against Goztepe's defense. Despite Goztepe's slightly higher overall quality, Samsunspor's home form and pressing style could keep the match tight. The pace hints at a moderately open game but not overly high scoring.

  • Home side's recent winning streak fuels confidence
  • Goztepe's defensive resilience tested by Samsunspor's offense
  • Balanced tempo suggests a tactical, compact encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

SAM 30 GOZ
62%
Possession (%)
38%
1.98
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.20
14
Total Shots
22
9
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
10
11
Shots Inside Box
17
0
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
3
10
Fouls
18
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
3
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

Samsunspor beat Goztepe 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 79% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 14, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.59 units (Brier 0.198).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.60 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.14 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.30 47% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.10 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.77 49% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.60 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.43 32% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.80 32% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Away Win 2.87 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.20 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 72% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.45 57% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.88 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.10 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.68 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 74% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.59u −21% ROI