Match Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.80 — +10.9% better than the market.

Antalyaspor hosts Kocaelispor in a Süper Lig clash where defensive solidity might dominate. Antalyaspor's home defensive edge and recent low scoring trends suggest a tight game. Kocaelispor's slightly better form and overall quality hint at a cautious away approach.

Home's compact defense vs away's moderate attack
Both sides show recent struggles in scoring
Odds favor a low-scoring, controlled tempo match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 56% +0.80u

+80%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ANT 4-2-3-1 · KOC 4-3-3

ANT · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · KOC

22 Streek

📊 Statistics

ANT 1 – 0 KOC

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.32

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.33

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Antalyaspor beat Kocaelispor 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.32 to 0.33. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 12 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.61 units (Brier 0.137).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.92	—	61%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
BTTS No	1.80	—	62%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.63	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.96	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.10	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.55	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.50	—	37%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.30	—	82%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	77%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Home Win	1.56	—	55%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
AH Away 0	4.50	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.21	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	86%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.13	—	55%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.61u	−21% ROI