Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük 0:1

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.91 — +10.0% better than the market.

Kocaelispor holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a notable home advantage, suggesting they can control the game's rhythm. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Fatih Karagümrük's slightly stronger offense, setting up a tactical battle where Kocaelispor's compact block may frustrate the visitors. Recent form favors Kocaelispor's steady home momentum, while the odds hint at a cautious pace and a likely tight scoreline.

Home defensive resilience vs away attacking threat
Home momentum against mixed away form
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.91 ✓ Cashed

AI 58% Implied 52% +0.91u

+91%

ROI on stake

Lineups

KOC 4-2-3-1 · KAR 4-2-3-1

KOC · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · KAR

19 Dursun

Statistics

KOC 0 – 1 KAR

65%

Possession (%)

35%

0.34

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.31

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Match recap

Fatih Karagümrük won 1–0 away at Kocaelispor. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +3.41 units (Brier 0.321).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.90	—	61%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	—	58%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Home Win	1.79	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.09	—	40%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.99	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.18	—	37%	Cashed	+2.18	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.30	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.27	—	80%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.18	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.82	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.72	—	16%	Cashed	+3.72	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.34	—	16%	Cashed	+2.34	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+3.41u	+23% ROI

Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled