Match Kocaelispor vs Göztepe April 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Goztepe arrives with a clear quality edge and stronger offensive potential, likely to challenge Kocaelispor's compact defensive setup. Despite Kocaelispor's home momentum and slightly better recent form, their defensive frailties may be exposed by Goztepe's pressing and attacking threat. The match hints at a cautious tempo with moderate goal expectations, favoring a tight contest where Goztepe's sharper attack could tip the balance.

Goztepe's offensive edge vs Kocaelispor's defense
Home side's recent form shows resilience but limited scoring
Moderate pace suggests tactical discipline over open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

KOC 4-3-3 · GOZ 3-4-1-2

KOC · 4-3-3 3-4-1-2 · GOZ

98 Nonge

📊 Statistics

KOC 1 – 1 GOZ

71%

Possession (%)

29%

2.77

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.72

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

58%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kocaelispor and Göztepe drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.77 to 0.72. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 7, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 12 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.43 units (Brier 0.153).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.77	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.63	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.62	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.07	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.10	—	42%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Home Win	2.80	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.89	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.93	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.48	—	72%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.53	—	65%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.56	—	61%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Draw	3.15	—	29%	Cashed	+2.15	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.44	—	57%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.19	—	83%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.12	—	87%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.25	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.43u	−20% ROI