Match Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe April 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Fenerbahce holds a clear quality edge over Kayserispor, reflected in their superior attacking and defensive metrics. Despite Kayserispor's solid home form, Fenerbahce's sharper offense and consistent away results suggest they will control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle where Fenerbahce's pressing and offensive efficiency challenge Kayserispor's compact defensive block.

Fenerbahce's attacking strength vs Kayserispor's defense favors visitors
Home momentum for Kayserispor but limited scoring potential
Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

KAY 4-1-4-1 · FEN 4-2-3-1

KAY · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · FEN

63 Chalov

📊 Statistics

KAY 0 – 4 FEN

39%

Possession (%)

61%

0.41

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.47

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fenerbahçe won 4–0 away at Kayserispor. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.47 to 0.41. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 11, 7 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.47 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.45 units (Brier 0.137).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.26	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.04	—	48%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.82	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.70	—	55%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.67	—	33%	Cashed	+1.67	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.80	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.58	—	68%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.14	—	89%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.16	—	68%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.80	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	78%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Home Win	6.80	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	5.25	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.45u	−26% ROI