Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep FK 4:1: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Tue 17 Mar · 17:00
4:1
Full-time
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu · Istanbul
Referee Kadir Saglam, Türkiye
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.99
✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 55% · book 1.80
✗
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.19
✓
xG (open play)
2.64 – 1.50
Δ +1.14
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Draw at 7.28 — +9.7% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 7.28
✗ Lost
AI 15%
Implied 14%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
FEN 4-2-3-1 · GAZ 3-5-2
📊 Statistics
FEN 4
– 1 GAZ
2.64
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.50
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
Match recap
Fenerbahçe beat Gaziantep FK 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.64 to 1.50. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 11, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 7.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.86 units (Brier 0.085).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.99 |
— |
55% |
Cashed |
+0.99 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.80 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.19 |
— |
45% |
Cashed |
+1.19 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
1.96 |
— |
45% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
7.28 |
— |
15% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.05 |
— |
95% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.24 |
— |
80% |
Cashed |
+0.24 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.47 |
— |
66% |
Cashed |
+0.47 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.90 |
— |
34% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.02 |
— |
80% |
Cashed |
+0.02 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.03 |
— |
96% |
Cashed |
+0.03 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.15 |
— |
85% |
Cashed |
+0.15 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
4.72 |
— |
20% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
6.25 |
— |
15% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
21.00 |
— |
4% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
14.50 |
— |
5% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
8.80 |
— |
5% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−5.86u |
−34% ROI |
