Match Fatih Karagümrük vs Fenerbahçe March 13, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Fenerbahce holds a clear quality edge heading to Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, with a stronger attack and defense pairing against Fatih Karagümrük's more modest numbers. The visitors' recent form shows momentum with multiple wins, contrasting with the home side's mixed results. Expect Fenerbahce to leverage their offensive prowess against a home defense that may struggle to contain their pace.

Fenerbahce's attacking threat versus home defensive vulnerabilities
Home side's inconsistent form versus away momentum
Moderate pace suggested by odds, favoring tactical control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

KAR 2 – 0 FEN

32%

Possession (%)

68%

1.47

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.69

8

Total Shots

16

4

Shots on Target

3

Shots off Target

7

Shots Inside Box

7

2

Corner Kicks

13

2

Offsides

3

16

Fouls

6

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

1

Yellow Cards

2

3

Goalkeeper Saves

2

Match recap

Fatih Karagümrük beat Fenerbahçe 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.47 to 0.69. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 8, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 13 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +8.58 units (Brier 0.323).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	—	46%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.70	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.73	—	52%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.62	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.36	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.07	—	91%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	67%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.10	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	5.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	77%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	3.25	—	28%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	8.00	—	9%	Cashed	+7.00	Cashed
AH Home 0	6.80	—	9%	Cashed	+5.80	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+8.58u	+50% ROI

Match Fatih Karagümrük vs Fenerbahçe March 13, 2026 — Result and Stats

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled