Göztepe vs Alanyaspor 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.20 — +10.8% better than the market.

Goztepe holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite a mixed recent form. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Alanyaspor's more vulnerable backline, suggesting a tactical advantage in controlling the game tempo. Alanyaspor's attack faces a tough test against a compact home defense, while Goztepe's offense can exploit gaps on the break.

Home defensive strength likely to limit away chances
Alanyaspor's attack pressured by home defensive setup
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.20 ✗ Lost

AI 35% Implied 31% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GOZ 3-4-1-2 · ALA 3-4-2-1

GOZ · 3-4-1-2 3-4-2-1 · ALA

9 Silva

Statistics

GOZ 2 – 2 ALA

32%

Possession (%)

68%

1.67

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.73

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Göztepe and Alanyaspor drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.67 to 0.73. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.42 units (Brier 0.261).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.21	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.93	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.73	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.01	—	44%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.28	—	39%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	47%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.59	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.20	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.31	—	80%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	65%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.53	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.27	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	88%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.35	—	27%	Cashed	+2.35	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.20	—	20%	Cashed	+3.20	Cashed
Away Win	3.70	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.42u	+2% ROI

Göztepe vs Alanyaspor 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled