Galatasaray vs Başakşehir 3:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.34 — +10.7% better than the market.

Galatasaray enters this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a solid offensive setup against a less resilient Basaksehir defense. Their recent form shows slight vulnerability, but the home crowd and tactical discipline should help maintain control. Expect a lively pace given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, suggesting open play and attacking intent from both sides.

Home attacking pressure vs away defensive gaps
Galatasaray's home edge and form advantage
Potential for multiple goals with open tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.34 ✗ Lost

AI 47% Implied 43% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GAL 4-2-3-1 · IST 4-2-3-1

GAL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · IST

45 Osimhen

Statistics

GAL 3 – 0 IST

67%

Possession (%)

33%

2.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.48

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Galatasaray beat Başakşehir 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.70 to 0.48. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 7, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.13 units (Brier 0.115).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.67	—	65%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.34	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.66	—	53%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
BTTS No	2.32	—	37%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.40	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.57	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.53	—	68%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	86%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.27	—	65%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.17	—	86%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.54	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.30	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.50	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.90	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.13u	−30% ROI

Galatasaray vs Başakşehir 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled