Match Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray March 7, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.60 — +9.0% better than the market.

Besiktas hosts Galatasaray in a Süper Lig clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall squad and defensive solidity. Despite Besiktas' home momentum and recent form, Galatasaray's offensive threat and defensive resilience could challenge the hosts' compact block. The match hints at a lively tempo with goal-scoring chances for both sides, supported by recent performances and balanced head-to-head history.

Galatasaray's defensive strength may limit Besiktas' attacking edge.
Besiktas' home form suggests pressing intensity and set-piece threat.
Expect an open game with chances on both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.60 ✗ Lost

AI 68% Implied 63% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BES 4-1-4-1 · GAL 4-2-3-1

BES · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · GAL

9 Oh

📊 Statistics

BES 0 – 1 GAL

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.47

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.57

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Galatasaray won 1–0 away at Beşiktaş. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 12, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 10 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.13 units (Brier 0.290).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.60	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.60	—	47%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.43	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.91	—	47%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
BTTS No	2.78	—	32%	Cashed	+1.78	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.63	—	52%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.55	—	32%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Home Win	2.70	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.99	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	71%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.55	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.19	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	96%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.85	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.12	—	14%	Cashed	+4.12	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+2.13u	+13% ROI