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Home Turkey Süper Lig Kocaelispor — Beşiktaş

Match Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş February 28, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 13:00
0:1
Full-time
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
L D W L D Away · last 5
Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu · Kocaeli Referee Cihan Aydin, Türkiye
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 54% · book 2.15
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.05
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.10
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.38 – 1.12
Δ −0.74
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Besiktas enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger attack against Kocaelispor's defense. Despite Kocaelispor's slightly better recent form and home momentum, Besiktas' offensive firepower and overall strength suggest they can control the game. The home side's defensive frailties may be exposed by Besiktas' pressing and pace.

  • Besiktas' superior attack vs home defense
  • Kocaelispor's home edge is mild but notable
  • Moderate pace expected, with chances for goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

KOC 01 BES
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.38
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.12
8
Total Shots
11
0
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
6
6
Shots Inside Box
7
1
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
4
15
Fouls
13
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Beşiktaş won 1–0 away at Kocaelispor. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.12 to 0.38. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.96 units (Brier 0.188).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.15 54% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.05 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 48% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.87 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.91 49% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.80 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.60 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.32 80% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.55 54% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.34 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 92% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.34 71% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Draw 3.48 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.60 25% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.58 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.96u −12% ROI