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Home Turkey Süper Lig Kocaelispor — Gaziantep FK

Match Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 11:30
3:0
Full-time
Gaziantep FK
Gaziantep FK
W L L L L Away · last 5
Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu · Kocaeli Referee F. Tokail
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 58% · book 1.90
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.79
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.93
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.20 – 0.65
Δ +1.55
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Gazisehir Gaziantep enters this clash with a clear quality edge and stronger offensive numbers, despite Kocaelispor's home momentum and recent positive form. The visitors' sharper attack faces a home defense that has been somewhat vulnerable, suggesting chances for Gaziantep to break through. However, Kocaelispor's home edge and compact block could keep the game tight and limit goal-scoring opportunities.

  • Gaziantep's offensive pressure vs Kocaelispor's defensive resilience
  • Home momentum favors Kocaelispor's pressing and set-piece threat
  • Moderate pace expected, leaning towards a balanced but cautious encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

KOC 30 GAZ
60%
Possession (%)
40%
2.20
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.65
14
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
2
5
Offsides
1
25
Fouls
16
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
3
Yellow Cards
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Kocaelispor beat Gaziantep FK 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.20 to 0.65. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 7, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.58 units (Brier 0.167).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.90 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.79 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.93 54% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.94 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.11 41% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Home Win 1.98 42% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Away Win 4.14 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.25 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.03 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.26 68% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.29 79% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 89% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.37 67% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Draw 3.53 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.40 42% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.80 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.58u −27% ROI