Match Kayserispor vs Kocaelispor February 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.71 — +14.6% better than the market.

Kocaelispor enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Kayserispor's defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but their lack of offensive firepower may limit goal-scoring opportunities. Expect a cautious tempo with a pressing edge from Kocaelispor aiming to exploit defensive gaps.

Strong away defensive record vs home offensive struggles
Kocaelispor's recent form shows upward momentum
Likely a compact, low-scoring encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.71 ✗ Lost

AI 67% Implied 58% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KAY 4-1-4-1 · KOC 4-2-3-1

KAY · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · KOC

63 Chalov

📊 Statistics

KAY 1 – 2 KOC

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.88

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.01

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kocaelispor won 2–1 away at Kayserispor. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.88 to 1.01. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.26 units (Brier 0.184).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.96	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.71	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.56	—	48%	Cashed	+1.56	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.81	—	48%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.93	—	40%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.27	—	33%	Cashed	+1.27	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.14	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.10	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	76%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	85%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	59%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.55	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.08	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	84%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.25	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.20	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.26u	−19% ROI