Match Bournemouth vs Leeds April 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Bournemouth arrives with a clear edge at Vitality Stadium, showing stronger form and a notable quality gap over Leeds. Their home momentum is backed by a solid defensive setup that challenges Leeds' attack, while their offensive play benefits from exploiting Leeds' less resilient backline. The recent results hint at a moderately open game, with a slight lean towards goals given both sides' tendencies and the balanced pace suggested by the odds.

Bournemouth's home compactness versus Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities
Form advantage and attacking efficiency favoring the hosts
Moderate tempo likely to produce chances on both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BOU 4-2-3-1 · LEE 3-4-2-1

BOU · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · LEE

9 Evanilson

Subs used · BOU

67'

Rayan ↑ ·

Brooks ↓

73'

Adams ↑ ·

J. Kroupi ↓

73'

Adli ↑ ·

Christie ↓

90+1'

Toth ↑ ·

Tavernier ↓

Subs used · LEE

46'

Rodon ↑ ·

Bogle ↓

64'

Nmecha ↑ ·

Bijol ↓

64'

Gnonto ↑ ·

Okafor ↓

84'

Longstaff ↑ ·

Aaronson ↓

89'

Piroe ↑ ·

Tanaka ↓

📊 Statistics

BOU 2 – 2 LEE

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.45

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.86

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 2

Eli Junior Kroupi

Yellow Card

▮

25'

Álex Jiménez

Yellow Card

▮

41'

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

J. Rodon ↓ · J. Bogle ↑

Substitution 1

E. J. Kroupi

Assist · M. Senesi · 1–0

⚽

60'

64'

⇄

L. Nmecha ↓ · J. Bijol ↑

Substitution 2

64'

⇄

W. Gnonto ↓ · N. Okafor ↑

Substitution 3

Rayan ↓ · D. Brooks ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

68'

⚽

J. Hill

Own goal · 1–1

T. Adams ↓ · E. J. Kroupi ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

A. Adli ↓ · R. Christie ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

84'

⇄

S. Longstaff ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑

Substitution 4

Rayan

Assist · T. Adams · 2–1

⚽

85'

89'

⇄

J. Piroe ↓ · A. Tanaka ↑

Substitution 5

90'

⚽

S. Longstaff

2–2

A. Toth ↓ · M. Tavernier ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+1'

Evanilson

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Bournemouth and Leeds drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.45 to 0.86. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. J. Kroupi (60'), J. Hill (68'), Rayan (85'), S. Longstaff (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.65 units (Brier 0.197).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.10	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.81	—	55%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.15	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.28	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	57%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.82	—	45%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.72	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.31	—	81%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.45	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.85	—	33%	Cashed	+1.85	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.49	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	78%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.64	—	25%	Cashed	+2.64	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.78	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.65u	−10% ROI