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Home Turkey Süper Lig Samsunspor — Kocaelispor

Match Samsunspor vs Kocaelispor January 24, 2026 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 14:00
0:0
Full-time
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
D L D L L Away · last 5
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu · Samsun Referee Yigit Arslan, Türkiye
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.85
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.19
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.68
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.71 – 0.34
Δ +0.37
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.85 — +9.0% better than the market.

Samsunspor holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a notable home advantage, suggesting they can control the game tempo at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu. Despite recent struggles in form, their offensive potential against Kocaelispor's leaky defense could create scoring opportunities. Kocaelispor's recent form shows resilience, but their defensive frailties away from home may be exploited.

  • Home side's stronger overall quality and home momentum
  • Offensive pressure likely to test away defense
  • Moderate pace expected with a compact, cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.85 ✓ Cashed
AI 59% Implied 54% +0.85u
+85%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

SAM 00 KOC
63%
Possession (%)
37%
0.71
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.34
16
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Target
1
7
Shots off Target
6
8
Shots Inside Box
6
9
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
14
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Samsunspor and Kocaelispor drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +6.06 units (Brier 0.264).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.85 59% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Home Win 2.19 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.68 64% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.38 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.04 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.75 47% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.62 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.90 37% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.31 80% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.44 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.53 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 12% Cashed +8.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.24 82% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.33 27% Cashed +2.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.33 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.66 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +6.06u +36% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
SAM – KOC @ 1.85
+9.0%
Edge
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