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Home England Premier League Aston Villa — Sunderland

Predictions Aston Villa vs Sunderland April 19, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 13:00
4:3
Full-time
Sunderland
Sunderland
L D D W W Away · last 5
Villa Park · Birmingham Referee S. Barrott
Home Win · AST
64%
Best 1.78
Draw
23%
Best 3.66
Away Win · SUN
13%
Best 4.80
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.98
Fair odds
1.74
book 1.98 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 57% · EV +13.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23.2%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 13.2%
Odds 5.58
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 42.6%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.9%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 77.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.4%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.3%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.2%
Odds 4.04
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.8%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
AST – SUN @ 1.98
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →