Match Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük December 21, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.00 — +10.3% better than the market.

Alanyaspor holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the game's tempo. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Fatih Karagümrük's more vulnerable backline, hinting at a tactical battle where home resilience may prevail. Recent form shows both sides struggling for consistency, but Alanyaspor's compact block and set-piece threat could be decisive.

Home defensive strength vs away offensive pressure
Balanced recent form with slight home momentum
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 55% Implied 50% +1.00u

+100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ALA 3-4-3 · KAR 4-4-1-1

ALA · 3-4-3 4-4-1-1 · KAR

16 Hwang

📊 Statistics

ALA 2 – 0 KAR

44%

Possession (%)

56%

0.73

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.21

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Alanyaspor beat Fatih Karagümrük 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.73 to 0.21. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.07 units (Brier 0.099).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.00	—	58%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	55%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	1.72	—	61%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.23	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.90	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.80	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.37	—	78%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	84%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.28	—	61%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	89%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	4.02	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	67%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Away Win	5.20	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.25	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.74	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.07u	−30% ROI

Match Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük December 21, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks BTTS No at 2.00 — +10.3% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled