Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK 5:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.14 — +5.6% better than the market.

Istanbul Basaksehir hosts Gazisehir Gaziantep in a tightly matched Süper Lig clash. Both sides show similar overall strength, but Basaksehir’s defensive solidity contrasts with Gaziantep’s sharper attack, hinting at a tactical battle. Home momentum with recent wins and a slight edge in form could help Basaksehir control the pace, while Gaziantep’s pressing and counterattacks may test the hosts’ backline.

Basaksehir’s compact defense vs Gaziantep’s forward thrust
Home form slightly stronger, aiding control
Moderate goal environment suggests a balanced contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.14 ✗ Lost

AI 49% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

IST 4-2-3-1 · GAZ 3-1-4-2

IST · 4-2-3-1 3-1-4-2 · GAZ

9 Selke

Statistics

IST 5 – 1 GAZ

58%

Possession (%)

42%

2.49

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.80

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Başakşehir beat Gaziantep FK 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.49 to 1.80. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.49 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.10 units (Brier 0.167).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.14	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.25	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.86	—	51%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.73	—	54%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.68	—	55%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	32%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Away Win	4.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.24	—	74%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.18	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	77%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.45	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.38	—	51%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.10u	−24% ROI

Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK 5:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled