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Home Turkey Süper Lig Başakşehir — Gaziantep FK

Match Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK December 22, 2025 — Result and Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig
Başakşehir
Başakşehir
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Mon 22 Dec · 14:00
5:1
Full-time
Gaziantep FK
Gaziantep FK
W L L L L Away · last 5
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu · İstanbul Referee Ali Sansalan, Türkiye
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 49% · book 2.14
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.25
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.20
Total goals
6
5 · 1
xG (open play)
2.49 – 1.80
Δ +0.69
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Istanbul Basaksehir hosts Gazisehir Gaziantep in a tightly matched Süper Lig clash. Both sides show similar overall strength, but Basaksehir’s defensive solidity contrasts with Gaziantep’s sharper attack, hinting at a tactical battle. Home momentum with recent wins and a slight edge in form could help Basaksehir control the pace, while Gaziantep’s pressing and counterattacks may test the hosts’ backline.

  • Basaksehir’s compact defense vs Gaziantep’s forward thrust
  • Home form slightly stronger, aiding control
  • Moderate goal environment suggests a balanced contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

IST 51 GAZ
58%
Possession (%)
42%
2.49
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.80
17
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
6
14
Shots Inside Box
9
2
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
2
19
Fouls
14
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
3
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Başakşehir beat Gaziantep FK 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.49 to 1.80. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.49 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.10 units (Brier 0.167).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.14 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.25 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.86 51% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.73 54% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.68 55% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 32% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Away Win 4.50 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.24 74% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.18 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 77% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.45 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.38 51% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.10u −24% ROI