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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Samsunspor — Başakşehir

Samsunspor vs Başakşehir 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 17:00
0:2
Full-time
Başakşehir
Başakşehir
D W L W W Away · last 5
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu · Samsun Referee Oguzhan Aksu, Türkiye
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.22 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.22 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.01 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.59 – 0.99
Δ −0.40
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.34 — +5.5% better than the market.

Samsunspor holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing solid recent form with two wins in their last five. Their defensive resilience could challenge Istanbul Basaksehir, who have struggled away and show signs of inconsistency. The home side's attacking threat slightly outmatches the visitors' defense, suggesting a tactical upper hand.

  • Home crowd support at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
  • Stronger defensive organization for Samsunspor
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.34 ✗ Lost
AI 79% Implied 75% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SAM 0 – 2 IST
53%
Possession (%)
47%
0.59
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.99
13
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
6
7
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
0
17
Fouls
9
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Başakşehir won 2–0 away at Samsunspor. At half-time it was 0–0.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.31 units (Brier 0.245).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.22 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.22 — 46% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.01 — 50% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.90 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.73 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.73 — 47% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.52 — 21% Cashed +1.52 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.34 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.15 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.55 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.39 — 71% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.82 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 — 74% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.55 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.47 — 21% Cashed +2.47 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.31u −8% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
SAM – IST @ 1.34
+5.5%
Edge
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