Match Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor December 14, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

Fatih Karagümrük hosts Kocaelispor in a Süper Lig clash where defensive solidity could be key. Fatih Karagümrük holds a clear defensive edge, likely to frustrate Kocaelispor’s less potent attack. Despite Kocaelispor’s slightly better recent form, the home side’s compact block and home momentum may limit scoring chances, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair.

Home defensive strength vs away attack mismatch
Close quality gap but home tactical discipline
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

KAR 4-2-3-1 · KOC 4-3-3

KAR · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · KOC

19 Fofana

📊 Statistics

KAR 1 – 1 KOC

35%

Possession (%)

65%

0.99

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.15

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fatih Karagümrük and Kocaelispor drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.18 units (Brier 0.157).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.00	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.78	—	65%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.62	—	66%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.29	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.48	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	42%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.15	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.79	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.28	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.25	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.28	—	83%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.39	—	61%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	86%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.39	—	61%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.10	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.18u	−19% ROI

Match Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor December 14, 2025 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled