Match Başakşehir vs Trabzonspor November 24, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.04 — +8.4% better than the market.

Trabzonspor holds a clear quality edge over Istanbul Basaksehir, reflected in their stronger overall squad metrics and recent form. Despite Basaksehir's home momentum and a solid defensive setup, Trabzonspor's attacking prowess could challenge their backline effectively. The home side's slight pressing advantage may keep the game tight, but Trabzonspor's consistent recent results suggest they can capitalize on key moments.

Trabzonspor's offensive strength vs Basaksehir's defense
Home side's compact block and pressing edge
Recent form favors Trabzonspor's momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.04 ✗ Lost

AI 53% Implied 49% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

IST 4-2-3-1 · TRA 4-2-3-1

IST · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · TRA

9 Selke

📊 Statistics

IST 3 – 4 TRA

36%

Possession (%)

64%

1.98

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.20

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

72%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Trabzonspor won 4–3 away at Başakşehir. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.20 to 1.98. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 9, 12 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.61 units (Brier 0.210).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.80	—	44%	Cashed	+1.80	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.04	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.25	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.88	—	47%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.00	—	44%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.65	—	52%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Home Win	2.64	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.93	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.52	—	70%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.99	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.20	—	26%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.40	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	72%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Draw	3.45	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.61u	−9% ROI

Match Başakşehir vs Trabzonspor November 24, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.04 — +8.4% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled