Match Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor November 23, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.81 — +9.6% better than the market.

Besiktas hosts Samsunspor in a Süper Lig clash where the home side holds a slight quality edge and a moderate home advantage. Besiktas' attacking prowess faces a tough Samsunspor defense, suggesting a tactical battle. Recent form favors Samsunspor slightly, but Besiktas' home momentum and pressing edge could tilt the balance. Expect a moderately paced game with a decent chance of goals given the attacking and defensive matchups.

Home edge in attack-defense matchup
Samsunspor's solid defensive block
Balanced recent form trends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.81 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 55% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BES 4-2-3-1 · SAM 4-1-4-1

BES · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · SAM

9 Abraham

4 Drongelen 17 Tomasson

📊 Statistics

BES 1 – 1 SAM

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.61

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.73

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Beşiktaş and Samsunspor drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.47 units (Brier 0.174).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.81	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	60%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Home Win	1.93	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.96	—	48%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
BTTS No	2.23	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	—	39%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.27	—	77%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	61%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.40	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	—	81%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Away Win	4.40	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.10	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.47u	−15% ROI