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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Fenerbahçe — Fatih Karagümrük

Predictions by Market: Fenerbahçe vs Fatih Karagümrük

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
Home · last 5 D L W W D
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 17:00
2:1
Full-time
Fatih Karagümrük
Fatih Karagümrük
L D W W W Away · last 5
Referee Ali Sansalan, Türkiye

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FEN
81%
Best 1.18
Draw
14%
Best 6.75
Away Win · KAR
5%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 8.05
Fair odds
7.11
book 8.05 · +13.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 14% · EV +13.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (81%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 14.1%
Odds 8.05
Show model details
Implied probability 12.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 81.1%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 4.9%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 96.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.3%
Odds 22.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 14.4%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 81.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 4.9%
Odds 9.80
Show model details
Implied probability 10.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 18.9%
Odds 5.38
Show model details
Implied probability 18.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
FEN – KAR @ 8.05
+13.2%
Edge
Forecast →