Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor 2:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.62 — +14.3% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

Konyaspor hosts Kocaelispor in a match where the home side is favored. Konyaspor's overall strength and home advantage give them a 57.43% chance of winning, with odds at 1.95. The 'BTTS No' market is also appealing, with a 55.58% estimated probability and odds of 2.05. The defensive shape of both teams suggests a lower-scoring affair, making 'Under 2.5 Goals' a strong option with a 58.07% probability and odds of 1.9.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.62 ✗ Lost

AI 32% Implied 28% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

KON 4-3-3 · KOC 4-2-3-1

KON · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · KOC

40 Muleka

Statistics

KON 2 – 3 KOC

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.48

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.98

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kocaelispor won 3–2 away at Konyaspor. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.48 to 0.98. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 7, 3 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.98 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.60 units (Brier 0.341).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.05	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.90	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.95	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.27	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.62	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.03	—	18%	Cashed	+3.03	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.85	—	44%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	91%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	—	68%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.02	—	42%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.45	—	23%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.91	—	43%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.42	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.94	—	18%	Cashed	+1.94	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.60u	+9% ROI

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Preview & Verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled