Match FC Volendam vs Heerenveen May 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.73 — +8.0% better than the market.

Heerenveen holds a clear quality edge and offensive advantage over FC Volendam, despite playing away. Volendam's recent form shows some struggles, while Heerenveen is on an upward trend, suggesting they carry momentum into this clash. The home side's defensive solidity may keep the game tight, but Heerenveen's sharper attack and better overall strength hint at a controlled away performance.

Heerenveen's offensive edge against Volendam's defense
Volendam's home defensive resilience
Form momentum favors the visitors

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 58% +0.73u

+73%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VOL 4-2-3-1 · HEE 4-2-3-1

VOL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · HEE

9 Veerman

📊 Statistics

VOL 0 – 2 HEE

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.48

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Heerenveen won 2–0 away at FC Volendam. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.79 units (Brier 0.151).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.73	—	62%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Away Win	2.05	—	55%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
BTTS No	2.75	—	40%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.61	—	41%	Cashed	+1.61	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.15	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.80	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.45	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.35	—	78%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.58	—	55%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.48	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.44	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	21.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	95%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	4.03	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.12	—	80%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Home Win	3.27	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.79u	−16% ROI