Match NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

NEC Nijmegen holds a clear quality edge over Telstar, backed by stronger offensive and defensive metrics. Their recent home momentum and a compact defensive block should challenge Telstar’s less consistent form. Expect NEC to control the pace, leveraging set-piece threats and pressing intensity to capitalize on Telstar’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Home side’s attacking edge vs away defense
Superior recent form and home comfort
Likely moderate tempo favoring NEC’s structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NIJ 3-4-1-2 · STO 3-4-2-1

NIJ · 3-4-1-2 3-4-2-1 · STO

30 Linssen

📊 Statistics

NIJ 1 – 1 STO

70%

Possession (%)

30%

1.95

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.22

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

64%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

NEC Nijmegen and Telstar drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.95 to 1.22. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +1.51 units (Brier 0.255).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.84	—	53%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
BTTS No	2.50	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.00	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.44	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.12	—	89%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	62%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.40	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.88	—	33%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.83	—	30%	Cashed	+1.83	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.18	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.20	—	19%	Cashed	+4.20	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.11	—	86%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.85	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+1.51u	+10% ROI