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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › PSV Eindhoven — PEC Zwolle

Predictions by Market: PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Thu 23 Apr · 19:00
6:1
Full-time
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
D L W L L Away · last 5
Philips Stadion · Eindhoven Referee Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PSV
81%
Best 1.36
Draw
14%
Best 6.14
Away Win · ZWO
5%
Best 7.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 8.00
Fair odds
7.05
book 8.00 · +13.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 14% · EV +13.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (81%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 14.2%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 80.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 5.2%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 80.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5.2%
Odds 8.10
Show model details
Implied probability 12.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 19.4%
Odds 4.70
Show model details
Implied probability 21.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
PSV – ZWO @ 8.00
+13.5%
Edge
Forecast →