Match PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle April 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

PSV Eindhoven enters this clash with a clear quality and home edge, boasting a strong attacking lineup against PEC Zwolle's less robust defense. Recent form favors PSV, who have shown sharper finishing and more consistent results. Expect PSV to leverage their home momentum and press high, while Zwolle may adopt a compact block to limit damage.

PSV's offensive firepower vs Zwolle's defensive struggles
Home advantage amplifies PSV's control and tempo
Zwolle's resilience may keep the scoreline respectable

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PSV 4-2-3-1 · ZWO 4-2-3-1

PSV · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ZWO

9 Pepi

📊 Statistics

PSV 6 – 1 ZWO

67%

Possession (%)

33%

1.90

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.81

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven beat PEC Zwolle 6–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.90 to 0.81. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 6, 11 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 6 from 1.90 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -7.15 units (Brier 0.059).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	2.40	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	1.64	—	55%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Draw	8.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	4.35	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.23	—	81%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	60%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.02	—	81%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 1.5	10.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.07	—	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.25	—	75%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.70	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	29.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	14.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	8.10	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−7.15u	−42% ROI