Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
ZWO 4-2-3-1 · EXC 5-4-1
📊 Statistics
ZWO 2 – 2 EXC49%
Possession (%)
51%
2.66
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.62
15
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
8
11
Shots Inside Box
9
5
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
13
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Match recap
PEC Zwolle and Excelsior drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.
On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.66 to 1.62. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.80 units (Brier 0.221).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 2.35 | — | 51% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 2.18 | — | 54% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 2.45 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.63 | — | 54% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.80 | — | 46% | Cashed | +0.80 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 | — | 49% | Cashed | +0.65 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 2.60 | — | 28% | Cashed | +1.60 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 2.35 | — | 23% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.55 | — | 72% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.40 | — | 77% | Cashed | +0.40 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 4.90 | — | 27% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 1.55 | — | 52% | Cashed | +0.55 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 15.00 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 | — | 92% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Draw | 3.95 | — | 24% | Cashed | +2.95 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.21 | — | 73% | Cashed | +0.21 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 3.25 | — | 23% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 9 L | −1.80u | −11% ROI |