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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Excelsior — NEC Nijmegen

Predictions Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen April 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Excelsior
Excelsior
Home · last 5 D W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 19:00
0:2
Full-time
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
D D D L W Away · last 5
Referee Alex Bos, Netherlands
Home Win · EXC
20%
Best 3.60
Draw
23%
Best 3.90
Away Win · NIJ
57%
Best 1.91
Value pick
Away Win
@ 2.01
Fair odds
1.75
book 2.01 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 57% · EV +14.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 57%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 20%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 38.6%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 82%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.9%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 38.4%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 20%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 57%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 43%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 80%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.