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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Netherlands Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven — AZ Alkmaar

Match PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar March 7, 2026

PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 19:00
2:1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
W D D D D Away · last 5
Philips Stadion · Eindhoven Referee Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 57% · book 1.87
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 43% · book 2.03
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 32% · book 2.55
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.33 – 1.60
Δ +0.73
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

PSV Eindhoven holds a clear quality edge over AZ Alkmaar, boosted by strong home momentum and a potent attack that challenges AZ's defense. The home side's pressing and compact block should limit AZ's chances, despite the visitors' decent recent form. Expect a lively pace given the goal-friendly odds, with PSV likely to control possession and create multiple scoring opportunities.

  • Home advantage with tactical solidity
  • PSV's offensive pressure vs AZ's defense
  • Higher recent points per game for PSV

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

PSV 21 ALK
64%
Possession (%)
36%
2.33
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.60
19
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
1
17
Shots Inside Box
12
5
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
4
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
2
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 1.87 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 2.03 43% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
BTTS No 2.55 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.58 68% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.12 91% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Home Win 1.37 74% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.12 74% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Draw 5.90 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.34 76% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.10 90% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.60 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.45 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 8.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 8.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 26.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.25 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.32u −37% ROI