Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar 2:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.67 — +9.7% better than the market.

Utrecht hosts AZ Alkmaar in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, backed by stronger offensive numbers and recent form. AZ's attacking threat could challenge Utrecht's defense, which has been somewhat vulnerable. However, Utrecht's home momentum and a compact defensive block may keep the game tight. Expect a balanced tempo with chances for both sides, leaning slightly towards an away win given AZ's sharper attack and recent consistency.

AZ's offensive edge vs Utrecht's defense
Home momentum and resilience from Utrecht
Moderate pace suggesting tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.67 ✗ Lost

AI 66% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

UTR 4-2-3-1 · ALK 4-2-3-1

UTR · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ALK

18 Stepanov

Statistics

UTR 2 – 0 ALK

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.76

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Utrecht beat AZ Alkmaar 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 83% of their passes. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.13 units (Brier 0.209).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	41%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.18	—	43%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.24	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.32	—	34%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.83	—	34%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Away Win	3.06	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	60%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.47	—	64%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.24	—	79%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.20	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.13u	−18% ROI

Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled