GO Ahead Eagles vs Heracles 4:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.52 — +10.2% better than the market.

GO Ahead Eagles hold a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent struggles. Their defensive solidity at De Adelaarshorst contrasts with Heracles’ leaky backline, suggesting a tactical advantage in containment. Both teams show patchy form, but the home side’s slightly better recent points per game hints at a pressing edge. Expect a moderately paced game with a compact block from Heracles and set-piece threats from the Eagles.

Home defensive strength vs away attack
Form favors home side slightly
Moderate tempo with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.52 ✗ Lost

AI 24% Implied 22% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

EAG 4-2-3-1 · HER 5-3-2

EAG · 4-2-3-1 5-3-2 · HER

16 Edvardsen

Statistics

EAG 4 – 0 HER

51%

Possession (%)

49%

2.60

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.80

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

GO Ahead Eagles beat Heracles 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.60 to 0.80. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.79 units (Brier 0.159).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.76	—	62%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.27	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.30	—	46%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.65	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	—	52%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.15	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.65	—	31%	Cashed	+1.65	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.52	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.52	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.24	—	84%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.33	—	62%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.20	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	76%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Away Win	4.60	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.45	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.79u	−22% ROI

GO Ahead Eagles vs Heracles 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled