Match PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen February 21, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

PSV Eindhoven holds a clear quality edge over Heerenveen, boosted by a solid home momentum despite some recent inconsistency. Their attacking strength faces a somewhat vulnerable Heerenveen defense, suggesting chances for goals. The home side's pressing edge and compact block at Philips Stadion should challenge Heerenveen's offense, which has shown resilience but less firepower.

Home advantage with tactical solidity
Stronger attack against weaker defense
Moderate pace expected with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PSV 4-2-3-1 · HEE 4-2-3-1

PSV · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · HEE

21 Boadu

📊 Statistics

PSV 3 – 1 HEE

65%

Possession (%)

35%

3.27

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.28

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven beat Heerenveen 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.27 to 1.28. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 29 shots to 14, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.44 units (Brier 0.065).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.87	—	54%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Under 3.5	2.03	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.55	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.40	—	72%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	66%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.12	—	90%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.20	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.14	—	72%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Draw	5.70	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.35	—	74%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.11	—	89%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.40	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	8.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	26.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.10	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.75	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.44u	−38% ROI

Match PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen February 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled