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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Netherlands Eredivisie Ajax — Fortuna Sittard

Match Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard February 14, 2026

Ajax
Ajax
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 19:00
4:1
Full-time
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
D L L W L Away · last 5
Johan Cruijff ArenA · Amsterdam Referee Rob Dieperink, Netherlands
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 39% · book 2.55
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 60% · book 1.63
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.08
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
1.18 – 0.84
Δ +0.34
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Ajax enters this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a potent attack against Fortuna Sittard's less robust defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Fortuna's inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited. Expect Ajax to control the pace and create multiple chances in a match leaning towards a higher goal count.

  • Home attacking strength vs away defensive weakness
  • Superior recent form and home advantage
  • Likely open tempo favoring Ajax's offensive play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

AJA 41 SIT
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.18
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.84
20
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
1
7
Shots off Target
5
15
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
0
1
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
10
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.55 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.63 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.08 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 53% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.35 40% Cashed +1.35 Cashed
Home Win 1.40 72% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.11 91% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.55 61% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.12 72% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Draw 5.27 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 82% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.25 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 8.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.40 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.46u −32% ROI