Match Heerenveen vs Utrecht February 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Heerenveen arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, showing signs of home momentum at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Their offensive strength outmatches Utrecht's defense, suggesting they can press effectively and create chances. Meanwhile, Utrecht's struggles on the road and weaker attack hint at a compact block approach, likely aiming to frustrate rather than dominate.

Home side's attacking edge vs away defense
Recent form favors Heerenveen's confidence
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

HEE 4-2-3-1 · UTR 4-3-3

HEE · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · UTR

9 Vente

📊 Statistics

HEE 1 – 1 UTR

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.64

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.83

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Heerenveen and Utrecht drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.64 to 0.83. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 11, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.14 units (Brier 0.181).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.94	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.41	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.71	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.32	—	42%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	58%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.98	—	42%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.40	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	82%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	64%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	80%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.80	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.85	—	24%	Cashed	+2.85	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.14u	−13% ROI